Dynamic Analysis and Forecast of Haikou Ecological Footprint

The ecological footprint model was used to analysis the ecological footprint, ecological capacity and ecological surplus/deficit of Haikou and forecast the ecological footprint situations from 2010 to 2012 & 2038. The results indicated that from 2000 to 2008, Haikou's ecological footprint was increased by 96.72% and annual increase rate was 10.75%, ecological capacity was maintained in the range of 7.4×10⁵ to 7.9×10⁵ hm²; ecological footprint per capita was increased from 0.245 1 hm² to 0.396 3 hm², and ecological capacity per capita fell down from 0.492 3 hm² to 0.424 8 hm²; ecological surplus was decreased year by year, and reached a pure ecological deficit in 2009. These data suggested that it is necessary for Haikou City to take effective measures to curb the excessive growth of ecological footprint and further optimize the relationship between the economic development and the ecological environment.