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中国足球超级联赛主客场胜率及净胜球与比赛结果排名的相关性研究

Correlation between Home and Away Winning Rate and Goal Difference and Sports Event Ranking in CSL

  • 摘要: 采用文献研读和数理统计法,对2010年赛季中国足球超级联赛的主客场胜率及净胜球与比赛结果排名的相关性进行了研究,结果表明,中超足球联赛前4名球队与后12名球队主场胜率、主场负率和客场进球数差异具有显著性,在客场胜率和净胜球数上的差异具有高度显著性; 中超足球联赛前14名与后2名球队在主场胜率、主场负率、客场胜率、客场失球数和净胜球数上的差异具有显著性; 与比赛结果排名存在高度相关的有场均净胜球数和主场胜率,与结果排名存在中度相关的有主场负率、主场场均进球数、客场负率、客场胜率.主客场胜负率以及净胜球数均有不同的价值和特征,对比赛的结果排名存在不同的影响,认识其规律将对竞赛的备战具有指导意义.

     

    Abstract: The methods of literature review and statistical analysis were used to analyze the correlation between the home and away winning rate, goal difference and sports event ranking in 2010 CSL.The results showed that there was significant difference in the home winning rate, lose rate and away goals between top four teams and last twelve teams in CSL.The difference in away winning rate and goal difference between these teams was very significant.There was also significant difference in home winning rate, lose rate, away goals and goal difference.The sports event ranking was highly correlated with average goal difference and home winning rate, and was moderately correlated with home lose rate, average home goals, away lose rate and winning rate.The home and away winning rate and goal difference has different characteristics and has different effects on sports event ranking.The analysis results of the laws will be helpful for preparing competition.

     

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