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基于ELES模型的重庆市城镇居民消费结构分析

Analysis on Consumption Structure of the Urban Residents in Chongqing by ELES Model

  • 摘要: 应用扩展线性支出系统模型和趋势分析法及最小二乘法,对1994—2002年期间重庆市城镇居民消费结构进行了研究,对消费倾向、储蓄倾向、价格弹性等进行了定量分析,测定了恩格尔系数,并对消费趋势进行了预测,提出了一些政策性建议.

     

    Abstract: In this paper, a study was conducted to the consumption structure of the urban residents during 1994—2002 in Chongqing by applying the extended linear expenditure system model (ELES), the trend analysis method, and the least square algorithm, and then a quantitative analysis was carried out on the consumption trend, saving trend, price elasticity etc.. Further, the Engel coefficient was measured and the consumption trend of urban residents was forecasted. Finally, some advices on improving a policy were proposed.

     

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